Irish Voters Lean Toward Constitutional Changes Despite Lack of Awareness

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In the run-up to the referendums on recognizing nonmarital families and care in the home in the Constitution, Irish voters appear to be on track to pass both proposals, as revealed by the latest Irish Times/Ipsos B&A opinion poll. 

However, the majority of voters admit to knowing "hardly anything at all" about the proposed changes, posing a potential challenge for the Yes side as polling day approaches. 

The poll as per data from the Irish Times, conducted between February 2nd and February 6th, paints a picture of limited awareness among voters.

Only 8% claim to know "a lot" about the proposed changes, with an additional 36% indicating they know "a little." A staggering 53% admit to knowing "hardly anything at all" about the referendums. 

Despite the lack of awareness, the Yes side has initially secured a strong lead. In the referendum addressing constitutional provisions related to the family definition, 52% of voters express an intention to vote in favor, while only 15% are against, and 27% remain undecided.

A marginal 5% state they will not vote. The "care" referendum, seeking to recognize the value of care and remove text acknowledging women's role in the home, commands an even more substantial lead for the Yes side.

A significant 59% indicate they will vote in favor, with 12% against and 23% undecided. Similar to the family definition referendum, 5% declare they will not vote. 

The poll underscores the challenge faced by campaigners to raise awareness among voters, with more informed individuals appearing slightly more inclined to vote against the proposed changes.

Despite the current lead for the Yes side, these dynamics suggest that the margin may tighten as the campaign progresses. It is worth noting that the poll also delves into Irish voters' perspectives on the conflict in Gaza. While a majority support Israel's right to defend itself, voters express concern that Israel may have gone too far in its assault on Gaza.

Opinions vary on supporting South Africa's case for genocide against Israel, and a split decision emerges regarding Irish politicians boycotting the White House on St Patrick's Day.

The representative sample of 1,200 adults reflects opinions gathered at 120 sampling points across all constituencies, with an estimated accuracy of plus or minus 2.8%.

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